{"id":22162,"date":"2026-09-13T08:34:42","date_gmt":"2026-09-13T00:34:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/weekly-outlook-super-central-bank-week-is-here-will-the-fed-press-the-button-on-its-first-rate-hike-in-three-years\/"},"modified":"2026-09-13T08:35:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-13T00:35:10","slug":"weekly-outlook-super-central-bank-week-is-here-will-the-fed-press-the-button-on-its-first-rate-hike-in-three-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/weekly-outlook-super-central-bank-week-is-here-will-the-fed-press-the-button-on-its-first-rate-hike-in-three-years\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Outlook: &#8220;Super Central Bank Week&#8221; Is Here! Will the Fed Press the Button on Its First Rate Hike in Three Years?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">During a week of trading marked by oil prices returning to $100 and inflation expectations resurging, the Fed\u2019s interest rate hike expectations, supply risks in the Middle East, and long-term interest rates emerged as the three key factors driving global asset markets. <br\/>This week, the U.S. released its August PPI and CPI data. The PPI rose 5.4% year-over-year, exceeding market expectations of 5.3%; the CPI remained at 3.4% year-over-year\u2014unchanged from July and in line with expectations\u2014but the core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, higher than the expected 0.2%. <br\/>Following the release of the data, the probability of a Fed rate hike next week in the interest rate swap market quickly rose to about 90%, up from 69% prior to the release. The market has even fully priced in two rate hikes this year. <br\/>Expectations of rate hikes are directly weighing on the bond market.The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose to around 4.97% this week, touching 4.98% intraday\u2014its highest level since October 2023; the 30-year yield held steady around 5.36%, while the 2-year yield rose to 4.64%, causing the yield curve to flatten slightly. <br\/>In the stock market, all three major U.S. indices retreated from their highs over the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.57% for the week, the S&amp;P 500 dropped 0.8%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.66%; however, after the CPI data was released on Friday, all three indices closed up about 1%, ending a four-day losing streak. <br\/>In the commodities market, crude oil was one of the strongest assets of the week. Brent crude rose 8.96% for the week to $104.91, while WTI briefly surged past $103 before retreating to around $100.60, still posting a double-digit weekly gain. <br\/>Precious metals, however, were weighed down by rising U.S. Treasury yields. Spot gold closed the week at $4,348 per ounce, down 1.87%\u2014marking its second consecutive week of declines; silver fell 2.7% to $64.21. <br\/>In the foreign exchange market, the U.S. Dollar Index closed at 99.1, down a marginal 0.07% for the week, with the index starting weak but ending strong. The yen was the strongest non-U.S. currency, appreciating 1.71% this week, driven by rising expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan and the unwinding of carry trades.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>During a week of trading marked by oil prices returning to $100 and inflation expectations resurging, the Fed\u2019s interest rate hike expectations, supply risks in the Middle East, and long-term interest rates emerged as the three key factors driving global asset markets. This week, the U.S. released its August PPI and CPI data. The PPI [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22157,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[416],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22162","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22162"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22162\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22163,"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22162\/revisions\/22163"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22157"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linkpgm.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}